Regular season ·
Notre Dame beat USC
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 13 Notre Dame beat No. 20 USC by 10 points.
How the game turned
Q3 4:32 Notre Dame 21, USC 24
Notre Dame 59% to win
Maiava 59-yd TD pass to Lane, two-point try good, USC goes ahead 24-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:09 · Notre Dame 0, USC 7Notre Dame's win chance fell from 73% to 60%.Maiava 10-yd TD pass to McRee, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 8:04 · Notre Dame 7, USC 10Notre Dame's win chance fell from 78% to 74%.Sayeri 42-yd field goal, USC goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 14:36 · Notre Dame 14, USC 10Notre Dame's win chance rose from 78% to 86%.Price 16-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-10
- 4Q3 4:32 · Notre Dame 21, USC 24Notre Dame's win chance fell from 89% to 59%.Maiava 59-yd TD pass to Lane, two-point try good, USC goes ahead 24-21
- 5Q3 4:17 · Notre Dame 27, USC 24Notre Dame's win chance rose from 59% to 81%.Price return TD, Notre Dame goes ahead 27-24
Notre Dame was never below a 59 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 4:32 left in the 3rd quarter, USC's chance to win went from 11 percent to 41 percent when USC scored a touchdown.
The score went from Notre Dame 21, USC 16 to Notre Dame 21, USC 24.
The play: Maiava 59-yd TD pass to Lane, two-point try good, USC goes ahead 24-21.
What happened next
Notre Dame's next game: W 25-10 at Boston College, Nov 1
14 days laterUSC's next game: W 21-17 at Nebraska, Nov 1
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.