Regular season ·
Stanford beat Florida State
Records are after this game.
Stanford beat Florida State by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q3 3:02 Stanford 20, Florida State 10
Stanford 69% to win
Tabb 1-yd TD run, Stanford leads 20-10
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:41 · Stanford 3, Florida State 0Stanford's win chance rose from 21% to 25%.Kenney 32-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 9:13 · Stanford 10, Florida State 3Stanford's win chance rose from 22% to 36%.Gulbranson 7-yd TD pass to Williams, Stanford goes ahead 10-3
- 3Q2 0:40 · Stanford 13, Florida State 10Stanford's win chance fell from 46% to 29%.Castellanos 8-yd TD run, cuts it to 13-10
- 4Q3 3:02 · Stanford 20, Florida State 10Stanford's win chance rose from 43% to 69%.Tabb 1-yd TD run, Stanford leads 20-10
Stanford's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:02 left in the 3rd quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 43 percent to 69 percent when Stanford scored a touchdown.
The score went from Stanford 13, Florida State 10 to Stanford 20, Florida State 10.
The play: Tabb 1-yd TD run, Stanford leads 20-10.
What happened next
Stanford's next game: L 7-42 at Miami, Oct 25
7 days laterFlorida State's next game: W 42-7 vs Wake Forest, Nov 1
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.