Regular season ·
Rice beat UConn
Records are after this game.
Rice had a 10 percent chance to win with 3:18 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 37-34 in 2 overtimes, October 25, 2025.
How the game turned
OT2 Rice 37, UConn 34
Rice 100% to win
Jackson 23-yd TD run, Rice wins it 37-34
Big moments
- 1Q2 11:08 · Rice 10, UConn 7Rice's win chance rose from 21% to 47%.Jackson 73-yd TD run, Rice goes ahead 10-7
- 2Q2 1:48 · Rice 10, UConn 14Rice's win chance fell from 44% to 24%.Fagnano 12-yd TD pass to Edwards, UConn goes ahead 14-10
- 3Q2 1:35 · Rice 17, UConn 14Rice's win chance rose from 24% to 49%.Jenkins 75-yd TD pass to Jackson, Rice goes ahead 17-14
- 4Q2 0:49 · Rice 17, UConn 21Rice's win chance fell from 44% to 22%.Fagnano 34-yd TD pass to Vereen, UConn goes ahead 21-17
- 5OT1 · Rice 31, UConn 24Rice's win chance rose from 39% to 75%.Jackson 6-yd TD run, Rice goes ahead 31-24
- 6OT1 · Rice 31, UConn 31Rice's win chance fell from 74% to 28%.Edwards 5-yd TD run, ties it 31-31
- 7OT2 · Rice 31, UConn 34Freeman 41-yd field goal, UConn goes ahead 34-31
- 8OT2 · Rice 37, UConn 34Rice's win chance rose from 42% to 100%.Jackson 23-yd TD run, Rice wins it 37-34
Rice's lowest chance to win was 10 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the second overtime, Rice's chance to win went from 42 percent to 99 percent when Rice scored a touchdown.
The score went from Rice 31, UConn 34 to Rice 37, UConn 34.
The play: Jackson 23-yd TD run, Rice wins it 37-34.
What happened next
Rice's next game: L 14-38 vs Memphis, Oct 31
6 days laterUConn's next game: W 38-19 vs UAB, Nov 1
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.