Regular season ·

LSU beat Auburn

No. 12 LSU3-022
No. 7 Auburn2-121Final
Sat, Sep 15 · Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Ala. · Crowd 86,787CBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

LSU had a 4 percent chance to win with 14:25 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 22-21, September 15, 2018.

LSU was No. 12 and Auburn No. 7 in the AP poll before the game.

How the game turned

LSU aheadAuburn aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%
1234

Q4 0:00 LSU 22, Auburn 21

LSU 100% to win

Tracy 42-yd field goal, LSU wins it 22-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:59 · LSU 7, Auburn 0LSU's win chance rose from 38% to 42%.Edwards-Helaire 1-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 (no clock) · LSU 7, Auburn 0LSU's win chance rose from 44% to 56%.Whitlow run for a 2-yd loss, turnover on downs
  3. 3Q2 1:31 · LSU 10, Auburn 14LSU's win chance fell from 35% to 22%.Shivers 7-yd TD run, Auburn goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · LSU 22, Auburn 21LSU's win chance rose from 57% to 100%.Tracy 42-yd field goal, LSU wins it 22-21

LSU's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 57 percent to 99 percent when LSU kicked a field goal.

The score went from LSU 19, Auburn 21 to LSU 22, Auburn 21.

The play: Tracy 42-yd field goal, LSU wins it 22-21.

What happened next

  1. LSU's next game: W 38-21 vs Louisiana Tech, Sep 22

    7 days later

  2. Auburn's next game: W 34-3 vs Arkansas, Sep 22

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 15, 2018: LSU 23, Auburn 20, Oct 26, 2019

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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