Regular season ·

Kentucky beat Mississippi State

No. 14 Mississippi State3-17
Kentucky4-028Final
Sat, Sep 22 · Kroger Field, Lexington, Ky. · Crowd 60,037 · 63°ESPN2

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Kentucky beat No. 14 Mississippi State by 21 points.

Mississippi State was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Kentucky was not ranked.

How the game turned

Kentucky aheadMississippi State aheadBiggest swingLow: 6%
123

Q3 6:03 Kentucky 14, Mississippi State 7

Kentucky 58% to win

Snell 1-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 14-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 8:42 · Kentucky 0, Mississippi State 7Kentucky's win chance fell from 35% to 14%.Fitzgerald 1-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 6:03 · Kentucky 14, Mississippi State 7Kentucky's win chance rose from 35% to 58%.Snell 1-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 8:00 · Kentucky 21, Mississippi State 7Kentucky's win chance rose from 83% to 95%.Snell 36-yd TD run, Kentucky leads 21-7

Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:03 left in the 3rd quarter, Kentucky's chance to win went from 35 percent to 58 percent when Kentucky scored a touchdown.

The score went from Kentucky 7, Mississippi State 7 to Kentucky 14, Mississippi State 7.

The play: Snell 1-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 14-7.

What happened next

  1. Kentucky's next game: W 24-10 vs South Carolina, Sep 29

    7 days later

  2. Mississippi State's next game: L 6-13 vs Florida, Sep 29

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 22, 2018: Mississippi State 28, Kentucky 13, Sep 21, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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