Regular season ·

Stanford beat Oregon

No. 7 Stanford4-038
No. 20 Oregon3-131Final
Sat, Sep 22 · Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Ore. · Crowd 58,453 · 68°ABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Stanford trailed Oregon by 17 points in the 2nd quarter and won 38-31 in overtime, September 22, 2018.

Stanford was No. 7 and Oregon No. 20 in the AP poll before the game.

How the game turned

Stanford aheadOregon aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%

Q4 0:00 Stanford 31, Oregon 31

Stanford 67% to win

Toner 32-yd field goal, ties it 31-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:30 · Stanford 0, Oregon 7Stanford's win chance fell from 63% to 42%.Brooks-James 7-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 0:12 · Stanford 21, Oregon 24Stanford's win chance rose from 20% to 37%.Love 22-yd TD run, cuts it to 24-21
  3. 3Q4 4:39 · Stanford 21, Oregon 31Stanford's win chance fell from 44% to 8%.Habibi-Likio 1-yd TD run, Oregon leads 31-21
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · Stanford 31, Oregon 31Stanford's win chance rose from 28% to 67%.Toner 32-yd field goal, ties it 31-31
  5. 5OT1 · Stanford 38, Oregon 31Stanford's win chance rose from 67% to 74%.Costello 23-yd TD pass to Parkinson

Stanford's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 28 percent to 67 percent when Stanford kicked a field goal.

The score went from Stanford 28, Oregon 31 to Stanford 31, Oregon 31.

The play: Toner 32-yd field goal, ties it 31-31.

What happened next

  1. Stanford's next game: L 17-38 at Notre Dame, Sep 29

    7 days later
  2. Oregon's next game: W 42-24 at California, Sep 29

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 22, 2018: Oregon 21, Stanford 6, Sep 21, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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