Regular season ·
Arizona State beat USC
Records are after this game.
Arizona State beat USC by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q3 2:54 Arizona State 31, USC 28
Arizona State 58% to win
Harry return TD, Arizona State goes ahead 31-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:52 · Arizona State 0, USC 7Arizona State's win chance fell from 43% to 28%.Vaughns return TD, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 6:22 · Arizona State 14, USC 7Arizona State's win chance rose from 46% to 62%.Benjamin 3-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 6:12 · Arizona State 24, USC 7Arizona State's win chance rose from 73% to 88%.Benjamin 49-yd TD run, Arizona State leads 24-7
- 4Q3 10:24 · Arizona State 24, USC 28Arizona State's win chance fell from 62% to 37%.Vaughns 36-yd TD pass to Pittman, USC goes ahead 28-24
- 5Q3 2:54 · Arizona State 31, USC 28Arizona State's win chance rose from 28% to 58%.Harry return TD, Arizona State goes ahead 31-28
Arizona State's lowest chance to win was 19 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 2:54 left in the 3rd quarter, Arizona State's chance to win went from 27 percent to 58 percent when Arizona State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Arizona State 24, USC 28 to Arizona State 31, USC 28.
The play: Harry return TD, Arizona State goes ahead 31-28.
It was Arizona State's first win over USC since the 2014 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Arizona State's next game: W 38-20 vs Utah, Nov 3
7 days laterUSC's next game: W 38-21 at Oregon State, Nov 3
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 27, 2018: USC 31, Arizona State 26, Nov 9, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.