Regular season ·

California beat Washington

No. 15 Washington6-310
California5-312Final
Sat, Oct 27 · California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, Calif. · Crowd 39,138 · 73°, fairFS1

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

California beat No. 15 Washington by 2 points.

Washington was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; California was not ranked.

How the game turned

California aheadWashington aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%

Q3 0:01 California 12, Washington 7

California 52% to win

Weaver return TD, two-point try fails, California goes ahead 12-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:40 · California 0, Washington 7California's win chance fell from 21% to 15%.Browning 3-yd TD pass to Jones, Washington goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 0:01 · California 12, Washington 7California's win chance rose from 32% to 52%.Weaver return TD, two-point try fails, California goes ahead 12-7
  3. 3Q4 (no clock) · California 12, Washington 7California's win chance fell from 62% to 41%.Garbers sacked

California's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:01 left in the 3rd quarter, California's chance to win went from 32 percent to 52 percent when California scored a touchdown.

The score went from California 6, Washington 7 to California 12, Washington 7.

The play: Weaver return TD, two-point try fails, California goes ahead 12-7.

What happened next

  1. Washington was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. California's next game: L 13-19 at Washington State, Nov 3

    7 days later
  3. Washington's next game: W 27-23 vs Stanford, Nov 3

    7 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 27, 2018: California 20, Washington 19, Sep 7, 2019

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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