Regular season ·

Washington State beat Stanford

No. 14 Washington State7-141
No. 24 Stanford5-338Final
Sat, Oct 27 · Stanford Stadium · Crowd 39,596 · 73°PAC12

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 14 Washington State beat No. 24 Stanford by 3 points.

How the game turned

Washington State aheadStanford aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%

Q4 1:25 Washington State 38, Stanford 38

Washington State 56% to win

Costello 25-yd TD pass to Arcega-Whiteside

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:09 · Washington State 0, Stanford 7Washington State's win chance fell from 39% to 33%.Costello 18-yd TD pass to Arcega-Whiteside
  2. 2Q1 5:23 · Washington State 14, Stanford 7Washington State's win chance rose from 54% to 68%.Minshew 4-yd TD pass to Borghi, Washington State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 9:25 · Washington State 14, Stanford 21Washington State's win chance fell from 45% to 30%.Costello 10-yd TD pass to Smith
  4. 4Q4 4:28 · Washington State 38, Stanford 31Washington State's win chance rose from 59% to 86%.Minshew 3-yd TD pass to Bell, Washington State goes ahead 38-31
  5. 5Q4 0:19 · Washington State 41, Stanford 38Mazza 42-yd field goal, Washington State goes ahead 41-38

Washington State's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:25 left in the 4th quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 15 percent to 44 percent when Stanford scored a touchdown.

The score went from Washington State 38, Stanford 31 to Washington State 38, Stanford 38.

What happened next

  1. Washington State's next game: W 19-13 vs California, Nov 3

    7 days later
  2. Stanford's next game: L 23-27 at Washington, Nov 3

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 27, 2018: Washington State 49, Stanford 22, Nov 16, 2019

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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