Regular season ·

Notre Dame beat USC

No. 3 Notre Dame12-024
USC5-717Final
Sat, Nov 24 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Crowd 59,821 · 64°, fairABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 3 Notre Dame beat USC by 7 points.

How the game turned

Notre Dame aheadUSC aheadBiggest swing

Q2 2:20 Notre Dame 7, USC 10

Notre Dame 65% to win

Book 24-yd TD pass to Finke, cuts it to 10-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:26 · Notre Dame 0, USC 7Notre Dame's win chance fell from 79% to 68%.Malepeai 14-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 2:20 · Notre Dame 7, USC 10Notre Dame's win chance rose from 48% to 65%.Book 24-yd TD pass to Finke, cuts it to 10-7
  3. 3Q3 10:55 · Notre Dame 14, USC 10Notre Dame's win chance rose from 69% to 85%.Williams 52-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-10

Notre Dame's lowest chance to win was 45 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:20 left in the 2nd quarter, Notre Dame's chance to win went from 48 percent to 65 percent when Notre Dame scored a touchdown.

The score went from Notre Dame 0, USC 10 to Notre Dame 7, USC 10.

The play: Book 24-yd TD pass to Finke, cuts it to 10-7.

What happened next

  1. Notre Dame's next game: L 3-30 vs Clemson in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Dec 29

    35 days later
  2. USC finished the 2018 season 5-7.

  3. USC's first game of the 2019 season: W 31-23 vs Fresno State, Aug 31, 2019

    about 9 months later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 24, 2018: Notre Dame 30, USC 27, Oct 12, 2019

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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