Regular season ·

Purdue beat Iowa

No. 19 Iowa6-336
Purdue5-438Final
Sat, Nov 3 · Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Ind. · Crowd 60,716 · 52°ESPN2

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Purdue beat No. 19 Iowa by 2 points.

Iowa was No. 19 in the AP poll before the game; Purdue was not ranked.

How the game turned

Purdue aheadIowa aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:08 Purdue 38, Iowa 36

Purdue 100% to win

Evans 25-yd field goal, Purdue wins it 38-36

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:56 · Purdue 7, Iowa 0Purdue's win chance rose from 65% to 71%.Blough 36-yd TD pass to Zico, Purdue goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 3:40 · Purdue 14, Iowa 7Purdue's win chance rose from 57% to 68%.Jones 1-yd TD run, Purdue goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 2:26 · Purdue 35, Iowa 23Purdue's win chance rose from 73% to 90%.Blough 3-yd TD pass to Wright, Purdue leads 35-23
  4. 4Q4 10:19 · Purdue 35, Iowa 36Purdue's win chance fell from 72% to 39%.Sargent 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Iowa goes ahead 36-35
  5. 5Q4 0:08 · Purdue 38, Iowa 36Purdue's win chance rose from 45% to 100%.Evans 25-yd field goal, Purdue wins it 38-36

Purdue's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:08 left in the 4th quarter, Purdue's chance to win went from 45 percent to 99 percent when Purdue kicked a field goal.

The score went from Purdue 35, Iowa 36 to Purdue 38, Iowa 36.

The play: Evans 25-yd field goal, Purdue wins it 38-36.

What happened next

  1. Purdue's next game: L 10-41 at Minnesota, Nov 10

    7 days later
  2. Iowa's next game: L 10-14 vs Northwestern, Nov 10

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 3, 2018: Iowa 26, Purdue 20, Oct 19, 2019

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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