Regular season ·

Michigan beat Michigan State

No. 6 Michigan7-121
No. 24 Michigan State4-37Final
Sat, Oct 20 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Mich. · Crowd 76,131 · 52°FOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 6 Michigan beat No. 24 Michigan State by 14 points.

How the game turned

Michigan aheadMichigan State aheadBiggest swing

Q3 9:28 Michigan 7, Michigan State 7

Michigan 72% to win

Will Hart punt for 50 yds, Shakur Brown returns for 10 yds, Brown fumbled, recovered by Hewlett

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 14:55 · Michigan 7, Michigan State 0Michigan's win chance rose from 69% to 79%.Patterson 6-yd TD pass to Collins, Michigan goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 11:12 · Michigan 7, Michigan State 7Michigan's win chance fell from 78% to 63%.Stewart 4-yd TD pass to Lewerke, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q3 2:24 · Michigan 14, Michigan State 7Michigan's win chance rose from 77% to 86%.Patterson 79-yd TD pass to Peoples-Jones, Michigan goes ahead 14-7

Michigan's lowest chance to win was 44 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 9:28 left in the 3rd quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 46 percent to 72 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed Michigan 7, Michigan State 7.

What happened next

  1. Michigan State's next game: W 23-13 vs Purdue, Oct 27

    7 days later
  2. Michigan's next game: W 42-7 vs Penn State, Nov 3

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 20, 2018: Michigan 44, Michigan State 10, Nov 16, 2019

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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