Regular season ·

Syracuse beat North Carolina

North Carolina1-537
Syracuse5-240Final
Sat, Oct 20 · Carrier Dome, Syracuse, N.Y. · Crowd 35,210 · IndoorsACCNX

Records are after this game.

Syracuse had a 8 percent chance to win with 2:21 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 40-37 in 2 overtimes, October 20, 2018.

How the game turned

Syracuse aheadNorth Carolina aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
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OT2 Syracuse 40, North Carolina 37

Syracuse 100% to win

DeVito 4-yd TD pass to Pierce, Syracuse wins it 40-37

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:07 · Syracuse 0, North Carolina 7Syracuse's win chance fell from 63% to 57%.Elliott 6-yd TD pass to Newsome, North Carolina goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 1:56 · Syracuse 10, North Carolina 7Syracuse's win chance rose from 62% to 72%.Elmore 1-yd TD run, Syracuse goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q3 6:02 · Syracuse 20, North Carolina 21Syracuse's win chance fell from 80% to 62%.Newsome return TD, North Carolina goes ahead 21-20
  4. 4OT1 · Syracuse 34, North Carolina 27Syracuse's win chance rose from 57% to 71%.DeVito 25-yd TD pass to Custis, Syracuse goes ahead 34-27
  5. 5OT1 · Syracuse 34, North Carolina 34Syracuse's win chance fell from 72% to 55%.Elliott 9-yd TD pass to Corrales, ties it 34-34
  6. 6OT2 · Syracuse 34, North Carolina 37Syracuse's win chance fell from 62% to 55%.Jones 48-yd field goal, North Carolina goes ahead 37-34
  7. 7OT2 · Syracuse 40, North Carolina 37Syracuse's win chance rose from 58% to 100%.DeVito 4-yd TD pass to Pierce, Syracuse wins it 40-37

Syracuse's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the second overtime, Syracuse's chance to win went from 58 percent to 99 percent when Syracuse scored a touchdown.

The score went from Syracuse 34, North Carolina 37 to Syracuse 40, North Carolina 37.

The play: DeVito 4-yd TD pass to Pierce, Syracuse wins it 40-37.

What happened next

  1. Syracuse's next game: W 51-41 vs NC State, Oct 27

    7 days later

  2. North Carolina's next game: L 21-31 at Virginia, Oct 27

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 20, 2018: North Carolina 31, Syracuse 6, Sep 12, 2020

    about 23 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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