Regular season ·

Penn State beat App State

App State0-138
No. 10 Penn State1-045Final
Sat, Sep 1 · Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pa. · Crowd 105,232 · 77°, fairBTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 10 Penn State beat App State by 7 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Penn State aheadApp State aheadBiggest swing

Q4 1:47 Penn State 31, App State 38

Penn State 22% to win

Moore 16-yd TD run, App State goes ahead 38-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:02 · Penn State 7, App State 0McSorley 12-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 4:10 · Penn State 7, App State 10Penn State's win chance fell from 93% to 89%.Staton 38-yd field goal, App State goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q3 9:41 · Penn State 17, App State 10Penn State's win chance rose from 91% to 94%.McSorley 10-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 17-10
  4. 4Q4 1:47 · Penn State 31, App State 38Penn State's win chance fell from 50% to 22%.Moore 16-yd TD run, App State goes ahead 38-31
  5. 5Q4 0:42 · Penn State 38, App State 38Penn State's win chance rose from 24% to 46%.McSorley 15-yd TD pass to Hamler, ties it 38-38
  6. 6OT1 · Penn State 45, App State 38Penn State's win chance rose from 72% to 77%.Sanders 4-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 45-38

Penn State's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:47 left in the 4th quarter, App State's chance to win went from 50 percent to 78 percent when App State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Penn State 31, App State 31 to Penn State 31, App State 38.

The play: Moore 16-yd TD run, App State goes ahead 38-31.

What happened next

  1. Penn State's next game: W 51-6 at Pittsburgh, Sep 8

    7 days later
  2. App State's next game: W 45-9 at Charlotte, Sep 8

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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