Regular season ·

Wisconsin beat Purdue

Wisconsin7-447
Purdue5-644Final
Sat, Nov 17 · Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Ind. · Crowd 46,114 · 39°BTN

Records are after this game.

Wisconsin had a 3 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 47-44 in 3 overtimes, November 17, 2018.

How the game turned

Wisconsin aheadPurdue aheadBiggest swingLow: 3%
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OT3 Wisconsin 47, Purdue 44

Wisconsin 100% to win

Taylor 17-yd TD run

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 6:11 · Wisconsin 0, Purdue 7Wisconsin's win chance fell from 38% to 28%.Blough 18-yd TD pass to Knox
  2. 2Q3 6:27 · Wisconsin 13, Purdue 10Gaglianone 22-yd field goal, Wisconsin goes ahead 13-10
  3. 3Q3 4:08 · Wisconsin 13, Purdue 17Wisconsin's win chance fell from 55% to 32%.Jones 12-yd TD run, Purdue goes ahead 17-13
  4. 4OT2 · Wisconsin 41, Purdue 34Groshek 4-yd TD run, Wisconsin goes ahead 41-34
  5. 5OT2 · Wisconsin 41, Purdue 41Wisconsin's win chance fell from 51% to 49%.Blough 25-yd TD pass to Zico, ties it 41-41
  6. 6OT3 · Wisconsin 47, Purdue 44Wisconsin's win chance rose from 44% to 100%.Taylor 17-yd TD run

Wisconsin's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the third overtime, Wisconsin's chance to win went from 44 percent to 99 percent when Wisconsin scored a touchdown.

The score went from Wisconsin 41, Purdue 44 to Wisconsin 47, Purdue 44.

The play: Taylor 17-yd TD run.

What happened next

  1. Wisconsin's next game: L 15-37 vs Minnesota, Nov 24

    7 days later

  2. Purdue's next game: W 28-21 at Indiana, Nov 24

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 17, 2018: Wisconsin 45, Purdue 24, Nov 23, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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