Regular season ·

Old Dominion beat Western Kentucky

Old Dominion2-637
Western Kentucky1-634Final
Sat, Oct 20 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Ky. · Crowd 13,269 · 60°ESPN+

Records are after this game.

Old Dominion had a 8 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 37-34, October 20, 2018.

How the game turned

Old Dominion aheadWestern Kentucky aheadLow: 8%

Q4 0:00 Old Dominion 37, Western Kentucky 34

Old Dominion 100% to win

Rice 26-yd field goal

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:42 · Old Dominion 0, Western Kentucky 7Old Dominion's win chance fell from 29% to 25%.Shanley 9-yd TD pass to Deane, Western Kentucky goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 0:00 · Old Dominion 14, Western Kentucky 7Old Dominion's win chance rose from 50% to 60%.Knight 1-yd TD run, Old Dominion goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 8:17 · Old Dominion 17, Western Kentucky 14Rice 45-yd field goal, Old Dominion goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q2 0:35 · Old Dominion 17, Western Kentucky 24Old Dominion's win chance fell from 30% to 29%.Shanley 15-yd TD pass to Fourtenbary, Western Kentucky goes ahead 24-17

Old Dominion's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Old Dominion took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Old Dominion 37, Western Kentucky 34.

It was Old Dominion's first win over Western Kentucky since 1970 in our games data, after 4 straight losses in the series.

What happened next

  1. Old Dominion's next game: L 17-51 vs Middle Tennessee, Oct 27

    7 days later
  2. Western Kentucky's next game: L 17-38 vs Florida International, Oct 27

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 20, 2018: Western Kentucky 20, Old Dominion 3, Oct 5, 2019

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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