Regular season ·

Ball State beat Western Michigan

Western Michigan6-541
Ball State4-742Final
Tue, Nov 13 · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, Ind. · Crowd 5,503 · 30°ESPN2

Records are after this game.

Ball State beat Western Michigan by 1 point in overtime.

How the game turned

Ball State aheadWestern Michigan aheadBiggest swingLow: 13%
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Q4 1:48 Ball State 35, Western Michigan 35

Ball State 31% to win

Eleby 9-yd TD pass to Ricci, ties it 35-35

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:33 · Ball State 7, Western Michigan 0Ball State's win chance rose from 33% to 45%.Plitt 22-yd TD pass to Miller, Ball State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 8:16 · Ball State 7, Western Michigan 14Ball State's win chance fell from 34% to 16%.Bogan 2-yd TD run, Western Michigan goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 2:58 · Ball State 21, Western Michigan 14Ball State's win chance rose from 37% to 47%.Gilbert 17-yd TD run, Ball State goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q4 5:36 · Ball State 35, Western Michigan 28Ball State's win chance rose from 55% to 82%.Dunner 12-yd TD run, Ball State goes ahead 35-28
  5. 5Q4 1:48 · Ball State 35, Western Michigan 35Ball State's win chance fell from 83% to 31%.Eleby 9-yd TD pass to Ricci, ties it 35-35
  6. 6OT1 · Ball State 42, Western Michigan 35Ball State's win chance rose from 40% to 44%.Plitt 2-yd TD pass to Schrank, Ball State goes ahead 42-35

Ball State's lowest chance to win was 13 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:48 left in the 4th quarter, Western Michigan's chance to win went from 17 percent to 69 percent when Western Michigan scored a touchdown.

The score went from Ball State 35, Western Michigan 28 to Ball State 35, Western Michigan 35.

The play: Eleby 9-yd TD pass to Ricci, ties it 35-35.

It was Ball State's first win over Western Michigan since the 2013 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Ball State's next game: L 21-42 at Miami (OH), Nov 20

    7 days later

  2. Western Michigan's next game: W 28-21 vs Northern Illinois, Nov 20

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 13, 2018: Western Michigan 35, Ball State 31, Nov 5, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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