Postseason ·

Northwestern beat Utah

Northwestern9-531
No. 20 Utah9-520Final
Mon, Dec 31 · SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, Calif. (neutral site) · Crowd 47,007 · 59°, light rainFS1

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Northwestern trailed Utah by 17 points in the 2nd quarter and won 31-20, December 31, 2018.

How the game turned

Northwestern aheadUtah aheadBiggest swing

Q3 6:40 Northwestern 17, Utah 20

Northwestern 24% to win

McGee fumble return TD, cuts it to 20-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:48 · Northwestern 0, Utah 7Northwestern's win chance fell from 28% to 22%.Shelley 27-yd TD pass to Dixon, Utah goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 6:40 · Northwestern 17, Utah 20Northwestern's win chance rose from 8% to 24%.McGee fumble return TD, cuts it to 20-17
  3. 3Q3 4:39 · Northwestern 24, Utah 20Northwestern's win chance rose from 41% to 56%.Thorson 20-yd TD pass to Klock, Northwestern goes ahead 24-20
  4. 4Q3 1:40 · Northwestern 31, Utah 20Northwestern's win chance rose from 72% to 86%.Lees 8-yd TD run, Northwestern leads 31-20

Northwestern's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:40 left in the 3rd quarter, Northwestern's chance to win went from 8 percent to 24 percent when Northwestern scored a touchdown.

The score went from Northwestern 10, Utah 20 to Northwestern 17, Utah 20.

The play: McGee fumble return TD, cuts it to 20-17.

What happened next

  1. Northwestern finished the 2018 season 9-5.

  2. Utah finished the 2018 season 9-5, No. 20 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  3. Utah's first game of the 2019 season: W 30-12 at BYU, Aug 29, 2019

    about 8 months later
  4. Northwestern's first game of the 2019 season: L 7-17 at Stanford, Aug 31, 2019

    about 8 months later
  5. The teams' next meeting after Dec 31, 2018: Northwestern 14, Utah 7, Dec 23, 2023

    about 5 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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