Regular season ·
LSU beat Texas
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 6 LSU beat No. 9 Texas by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q4 12:09 LSU 30, Texas 28
LSU 70% to win
Ehlinger 44-yd TD pass to Duvernay, cuts it to 30-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:04 · LSU 3, Texas 0LSU's win chance rose from 70% to 72%.York 36-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 10:29 · LSU 3, Texas 7LSU's win chance fell from 72% to 59%.Ehlinger 55-yd TD pass to Eagles, Texas goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 7:30 · LSU 10, Texas 7LSU's win chance rose from 54% to 69%.Burrow 6-yd TD pass to Jefferson, LSU goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q4 12:09 · LSU 30, Texas 28LSU's win chance fell from 91% to 70%.Ehlinger 44-yd TD pass to Duvernay, cuts it to 30-28
- 5Q4 2:27 · LSU 45, Texas 31LSU's win chance rose from 87% to 98%.Burrow 61-yd TD pass to Jefferson, two-point try good, LSU leads 45-31
LSU was never below a 54 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 12:09 left in the 4th quarter, Texas's chance to win went from 9 percent to 30 percent when Texas scored a touchdown.
The score went from LSU 30, Texas 21 to LSU 30, Texas 28.
The play: Ehlinger 44-yd TD pass to Duvernay, cuts it to 30-28.
What happened next
LSU's next game: W 65-14 vs Northwestern State, Sep 14
7 days laterTexas's next game: W 48-13 vs Rice, Sep 14
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.