Regular season ·

Vanderbilt beat Missouri

No. 22 Missouri5-214
Vanderbilt2-521Final
Sat, Oct 19 · Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tenn. · Crowd 23,900 · 64°, cloudySEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Vanderbilt beat No. 22 Missouri by 7 points.

Missouri was No. 22 in the AP poll before the game; Vanderbilt was not ranked.

How the game turned

Vanderbilt aheadMissouri aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%
12345

Q4 8:57 Vanderbilt 21, Missouri 14

Vanderbilt 71% to win

Neal 21-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt goes ahead 21-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 12:00 · Vanderbilt 7, Missouri 0Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 17% to 21%.Vaughn 1-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 9:03 · Vanderbilt 7, Missouri 7Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 25% to 13%.Bryant 4-yd TD pass to Okwuegbunam, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q2 2:06 · Vanderbilt 14, Missouri 7Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 8% to 27%.Hasan 61-yd TD pass to Vaughn, Vanderbilt goes ahead 14-7
  4. 4Q3 1:37 · Vanderbilt 14, Missouri 14Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 57% to 26%.Rountree 6-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  5. 5Q4 8:57 · Vanderbilt 21, Missouri 14Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 38% to 71%.Neal 21-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt goes ahead 21-14

Vanderbilt's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 8:57 left in the 4th quarter, Vanderbilt's chance to win went from 38 percent to 71 percent when Vanderbilt scored a touchdown.

The score went from Vanderbilt 14, Missouri 14 to Vanderbilt 21, Missouri 14.

The play: Neal 21-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt goes ahead 21-14.

It was Vanderbilt's first win over Missouri since the 2015 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Missouri's next game: L 7-29 at Kentucky, Oct 26

    7 days later

  2. Vanderbilt's next game: L 7-24 at South Carolina, Nov 2

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 19, 2019: Missouri 41, Vanderbilt 0, Nov 28, 2020

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·