Regular season ·
LSU beat Alabama
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 1 LSU beat No. 2 Alabama by 5 points.
How the game turned
Q2 6:43 LSU 16, Alabama 13
LSU 54% to win
Tagovailoa 64-yd TD pass to Smith, cuts it to 16-13
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:15 · LSU 7, Alabama 0LSU's win chance rose from 39% to 46%.Burrow 33-yd TD pass to Chase, LSU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 1:14 · LSU 10, Alabama 7LSU's win chance fell from 67% to 46%.Waddle punt return TD, cuts it to 10-7
- 3Q2 6:43 · LSU 16, Alabama 13LSU's win chance fell from 79% to 54%.Tagovailoa 64-yd TD pass to Smith, cuts it to 16-13
- 4Q2 0:26 · LSU 26, Alabama 13LSU's win chance rose from 65% to 79%.Edwards-Helaire 1-yd TD run, LSU leads 26-13
- 5Q4 14:33 · LSU 33, Alabama 27LSU's win chance fell from 87% to 73%.Harris 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 33-27
LSU's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 6:43 left in the 2nd quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 21 percent to 46 percent when Alabama scored a touchdown.
The score went from LSU 16, Alabama 7 to LSU 16, Alabama 13.
The play: Tagovailoa 64-yd TD pass to Smith, cuts it to 16-13.
It was LSU's first win over Alabama since the 2011 season, after 8 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
LSU's next game: W 58-37 at Ole Miss, Nov 16
7 days laterAlabama's next game: W 38-7 at Mississippi State, Nov 16
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2019: Alabama 55, LSU 17, Dec 5, 2020
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.