Regular season ·

West Virginia beat Kansas State

West Virginia4-624
Kansas State6-420Final
Sat, Nov 16 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kan. · Crowd 46,332 · 66°ESPN

Records are after this game.

West Virginia had a 9 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-20, November 16, 2019.

How the game turned

West Virginia aheadKansas State aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%

Q4 11:27 West Virginia 24, Kansas State 20

West Virginia 58% to win

Doege 50-yd TD pass to Wheaton, West Virginia goes ahead 24-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:37 · West Virginia 0, Kansas State 7West Virginia's win chance fell from 12% to 11%.Thompson 68-yd TD pass to Schoen, Kansas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 4:43 · West Virginia 7, Kansas State 10Lynch 22-yd field goal, Kansas State goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q1 0:00 · West Virginia 14, Kansas State 10West Virginia's win chance rose from 21% to 27%.Doege 15-yd TD pass to Campbell, West Virginia goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q3 7:56 · West Virginia 14, Kansas State 20West Virginia's win chance fell from 21% to 16%.Gilbert 3-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 20-14
  5. 5Q4 11:27 · West Virginia 24, Kansas State 20West Virginia's win chance rose from 17% to 58%.Doege 50-yd TD pass to Wheaton, West Virginia goes ahead 24-20

West Virginia's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:27 left in the 4th quarter, West Virginia's chance to win went from 16 percent to 58 percent when West Virginia scored a touchdown.

The score went from West Virginia 17, Kansas State 20 to West Virginia 24, Kansas State 20.

The play: Doege 50-yd TD pass to Wheaton, West Virginia goes ahead 24-20.

What happened next

  1. West Virginia's next game: L 13-20 vs Oklahoma State, Nov 23

    7 days later
  2. Kansas State's next game: W 30-27 at Texas Tech, Nov 23

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 16, 2019: West Virginia 37, Kansas State 10, Oct 31, 2020

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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