Regular season ·
Illinois beat Wisconsin
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Illinois had a 1 percent chance to win with 9:38 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-23, October 19, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Illinois 24, Wisconsin 23
Illinois 100% to win
McCourt 39-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 24-23
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:15 · Illinois 0, Wisconsin 7Illinois's win chance fell from 5% to 2%.Coan 18-yd TD pass to Ferguson, Wisconsin goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 5:53 · Illinois 21, Wisconsin 23Illinois's win chance rose from 7% to 24%.Peters 29-yd TD pass to Imatorbhebhe, cuts it to 23-21
- 3Q4 0:00 · Illinois 24, Wisconsin 23Illinois's win chance rose from 69% to 100%.McCourt 39-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 24-23
Illinois's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Illinois's chance to win went from 69 percent to 99 percent when Illinois kicked a field goal.
The score went from Illinois 21, Wisconsin 23 to Illinois 24, Wisconsin 23.
The play: McCourt 39-yd field goal, Illinois wins it 24-23.
It was Illinois's first win over Wisconsin since the 2007 season, after 9 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Illinois's next game: W 24-6 at Purdue, Oct 26
7 days laterWisconsin's next game: L 7-38 at Ohio State, Oct 26
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 19, 2019: Wisconsin 45, Illinois 7, Oct 23, 2020
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.