Regular season ·
Minnesota beat Fresno State
Records are after this game.
Minnesota beat Fresno State 38-35 in 2 overtimes, September 7, 2019.
How the game turned
OT2 Minnesota 38, Fresno State 35
Minnesota 99% to win
Lantz 37-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 38-35
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:47 · Minnesota 7, Fresno State 0Minnesota's win chance rose from 68% to 75%.Morgan 15-yd TD pass to Bateman, Minnesota goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 4:27 · Minnesota 14, Fresno State 21Minnesota's win chance fell from 48% to 28%.Reyna 14-yd TD pass to Rice, two-point try good, Fresno State goes ahead 21-14
- 3Q4 5:58 · Minnesota 21, Fresno State 28Minnesota's win chance fell from 56% to 20%.Reyna 2-yd TD run, Fresno State goes ahead 28-21
- 4OT1 · Minnesota 28, Fresno State 35Minnesota's win chance fell from 64% to 47%.Reyna 5-yd TD pass to Rivers, Fresno State goes ahead 35-28
- 5OT1 · Minnesota 35, Fresno State 35Minnesota's win chance rose from 54% to 57%.Morgan 4-yd TD run, ties it 35-35
- 6OT2 · Minnesota 38, Fresno State 35Minnesota's win chance rose from 53% to 99%.Lantz 37-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 38-35
Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the second overtime, Minnesota's chance to win went from 53 percent to 99 percent when Minnesota kicked a field goal.
The score went from Minnesota 35, Fresno State 35 to Minnesota 38, Fresno State 35.
The play: Lantz 37-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 38-35.
What happened next
Minnesota's next game: W 35-32 vs Georgia Southern, Sep 14
7 days laterFresno State's next game: W 34-20 vs Sacramento State, Sep 21
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.