Regular season ·
Purdue beat Northwestern
Records are after this game.
Purdue beat Northwestern by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:03 Purdue 24, Northwestern 22
Purdue 100% to win
J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG GOOD
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:34 · Purdue 0, Northwestern 7Purdue's win chance fell from 48% to 33%.McGowan 79-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:59 · Purdue 7, Northwestern 16Purdue's win chance fell from 32% to 19%.O'Connell sacked for a safety, Northwestern leads 16-7
- 3Q3 6:28 · Purdue 21, Northwestern 16Purdue's win chance rose from 55% to 71%.O'Connell 11-yd TD pass to Anderson, Purdue goes ahead 21-16
- 4Q4 11:10 · Purdue 21, Northwestern 22Purdue's win chance fell from 64% to 46%.Smith 8-yd TD pass to Lees, two-point try fails, Northwestern goes ahead 22-21
- 5Q4 0:03 · Purdue 24, Northwestern 22Purdue's win chance rose from 50% to 100%.J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG GOOD
Purdue's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, Purdue's chance to win went from 49 percent to 99 percent when Purdue kicked a field goal.
The score went from Purdue 21, Northwestern 22 to Purdue 24, Northwestern 22.
It was Purdue's first win over Northwestern since the 2010 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Northwestern's next game: W 45-6 vs Massachusetts, Nov 16
7 days laterPurdue's next game: L 24-45 at Wisconsin, Nov 23
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2019: Northwestern 27, Purdue 20, Nov 14, 2020
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.