Regular season ·
Pittsburgh beat UCF
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Pittsburgh had a 6 percent chance to win with 8:14 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 35-34, September 21, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 0:59 Pittsburgh 35, UCF 34
Pittsburgh 62% to win
Mathews 3-yd TD pass to Pickett, Pittsburgh goes ahead 35-34
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:36 · Pittsburgh 7, UCF 0Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 35% to 41%.Davis 2-yd TD run
- 2Q2 8:58 · Pittsburgh 21, UCF 0Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 64% to 78%.Davis return TD, blocked, Pittsburgh leads 21-0
- 3Q3 11:25 · Pittsburgh 21, UCF 17Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 63% to 49%.Gabriel 10-yd TD pass to Davis, cuts it to 21-17
- 4Q3 8:40 · Pittsburgh 21, UCF 24Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 35% to 22%.Anderson return TD, UCF goes ahead 24-21
- 5Q4 0:59 · Pittsburgh 35, UCF 34Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 29% to 62%.Mathews 3-yd TD pass to Pickett, Pittsburgh goes ahead 35-34
Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:59 left in the 4th quarter, Pittsburgh's chance to win went from 29 percent to 62 percent when Pittsburgh scored a touchdown.
The score went from Pittsburgh 28, UCF 34 to Pittsburgh 35, UCF 34.
The play: Mathews 3-yd TD pass to Pickett, Pittsburgh goes ahead 35-34.
What happened next
Pittsburgh's next game: W 17-14 vs Delaware, Sep 28
7 days laterUCF's next game: W 56-21 vs UConn, Sep 28
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 21, 2019: Pittsburgh 12, UCF 7, Sep 12, 2026
about 7 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.