Regular season ·
Miami beat Florida State
Records are after this game.
Miami beat Florida State by 17 points.
How the game turned
Q2 7:25 Miami 7, Florida State 3
Miami 48% to win
Williams sacked, fumbles
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:10 · Miami 7, Florida State 0Miami's win chance rose from 54% to 62%.Williams 39-yd TD pass to Thomas, Miami goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 7:25 · Miami 7, Florida State 3Miami's win chance fell from 66% to 48%.Williams sacked, fumbles
Miami's lowest chance to win was 36 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 7:25 left in the 2nd quarter, Florida State's chance to win went from 35 percent to 52 percent on a fumble.
The score stayed Miami 7, Florida State 3.
The play: Williams sacked, fumbles.
What happened next
Miami's next game: W 52-27 vs Louisville, Nov 9
7 days laterFlorida State's next game: W 38-31 at Boston College, Nov 9
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2019: Miami 52, Florida State 10, Sep 26, 2020
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

