Regular season ·
Notre Dame beat Virginia Tech
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Notre Dame had a 8 percent chance to win with 2:39 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 21-20, November 2, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 0:29 Notre Dame 21, Virginia Tech 20
Notre Dame 46% to win
Book 7-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 21-20
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:10 · Notre Dame 7, Virginia Tech 0Notre Dame's win chance rose from 90% to 91%.Book 8-yd TD pass to Kmet, Notre Dame goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 11:45 · Notre Dame 14, Virginia Tech 7Notre Dame's win chance rose from 85% to 89%.Book 4-yd TD pass to Tremble, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 11:00 · Notre Dame 14, Virginia Tech 17Notre Dame's win chance fell from 71% to 69%.Johnson 44-yd field goal, Virginia Tech goes ahead 17-14
- 4Q4 13:25 · Notre Dame 14, Virginia Tech 20Notre Dame's win chance fell from 54% to 28%.Johnson 25-yd field goal, Virginia Tech leads 20-14
- 5Q4 0:29 · Notre Dame 21, Virginia Tech 20Notre Dame's win chance rose from 18% to 46%.Book 7-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 21-20
Notre Dame's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:29 left in the 4th quarter, Notre Dame's chance to win went from 18 percent to 46 percent when Notre Dame scored a touchdown.
The score went from Notre Dame 14, Virginia Tech 20 to Notre Dame 21, Virginia Tech 20.
The play: Book 7-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 21-20.
What happened next
Notre Dame's next game: W 38-7 at Duke, Nov 9
7 days laterVirginia Tech's next game: W 36-17 vs Wake Forest, Nov 9
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2019: Notre Dame 32, Virginia Tech 29, Oct 9, 2021
about 23 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.