Regular season ·
California beat Stanford
Records are after this game.
California beat Stanford by 4 points.
How the game turned
Q4 1:19 California 24, Stanford 20
California 76% to win
Garbers 16-yd TD run, California goes ahead 24-20
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:00 · California 0, Stanford 7California's win chance fell from 39% to 32%.Mills 40-yd TD pass to Stewart, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 11:45 · California 7, Stanford 10Sanborn 48-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 2:09 · California 10, Stanford 17California's win chance fell from 35% to 21%.Scarlett 1-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 17-10
- 4Q4 7:44 · California 17, Stanford 17California's win chance rose from 24% to 45%.Garbers 18-yd TD pass to Remigio, ties it 17-17
- 5Q4 2:23 · California 17, Stanford 20California's win chance fell from 48% to 35%.Sanborn 44-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 20-17
- 6Q4 1:19 · California 24, Stanford 20California's win chance rose from 55% to 76%.Garbers 16-yd TD run, California goes ahead 24-20
California's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:19 left in the 4th quarter, California's chance to win went from 55 percent to 76 percent when California scored a touchdown.
The score went from California 17, Stanford 20 to California 24, Stanford 20.
The play: Garbers 16-yd TD run, California goes ahead 24-20.
It was California's first win over Stanford since the 2009 season, after 9 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
California's next game: W 28-18 at UCLA, Nov 30
7 days laterStanford's next game: L 24-45 vs Notre Dame, Nov 30
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 23, 2019: Stanford 24, California 23, Nov 27, 2020
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.