Regular season ·
Stanford beat Oregon State
Records are after this game.
Stanford beat Oregon State by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:01 Stanford 31, Oregon State 28
Stanford 100% to win
Toner 39-yd field goal, Stanford wins it 31-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 1:37 · Stanford 7, Oregon State 0Stanford's win chance rose from 66% to 77%.Mills 26-yd TD pass to Wilson, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 1:24 · Stanford 14, Oregon State 0Stanford's win chance rose from 74% to 90%.Mills 3-yd TD pass to Parkinson, Stanford leads 14-0
- 3Q4 12:23 · Stanford 21, Oregon State 14Stanford's win chance fell from 94% to 84%.Pierce 43-yd TD run, cuts it to 21-14
- 4Q4 1:55 · Stanford 28, Oregon State 28Stanford's win chance fell from 67% to 51%.Pierce 1-yd TD run, ties it 28-28
- 5Q4 0:01 · Stanford 31, Oregon State 28Stanford's win chance rose from 69% to 100%.Toner 39-yd field goal, Stanford wins it 31-28
Stanford was never below a 51 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 69 percent to 99 percent when Stanford kicked a field goal.
The score went from Stanford 28, Oregon State 28 to Stanford 31, Oregon State 28.
The play: Toner 39-yd field goal, Stanford wins it 31-28.
What happened next
Stanford's next game: W 23-13 vs Washington, Oct 5
7 days laterOregon State's next game: W 48-31 at UCLA, Oct 5
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 28, 2019: Stanford 27, Oregon State 24, Dec 12, 2020
about 14 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.