Regular season ·
New Mexico beat New Mexico State
Records are after this game.
New Mexico beat New Mexico State by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q3 8:15 New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 38
New Mexico 37% to win
Adkins 3-yd TD pass to Nicholson, New Mexico State goes ahead 38-34
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:36 · New Mexico 7, New Mexico State 14New Mexico's win chance fell from 51% to 40%.Huntley 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 14-7
- 2Q1 0:35 · New Mexico 14, New Mexico State 17Brown 33-yd field goal, New Mexico State goes ahead 17-14
- 3Q2 9:32 · New Mexico 17, New Mexico State 24New Mexico's win chance fell from 58% to 45%.Adkins 1-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 24-17
- 4Q2 1:07 · New Mexico 31, New Mexico State 24New Mexico's win chance rose from 65% to 71%.Davis 1-yd TD run, New Mexico goes ahead 31-24
- 5Q3 11:25 · New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 31Shelley 49-yd field goal, New Mexico goes ahead 34-31
- 6Q3 8:15 · New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 38New Mexico's win chance fell from 63% to 37%.Adkins 3-yd TD pass to Nicholson, New Mexico State goes ahead 38-34
- 7Q3 3:45 · New Mexico 41, New Mexico State 38New Mexico's win chance rose from 49% to 58%.Tuioti 20-yd TD pass to Kress, New Mexico goes ahead 41-38
New Mexico's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:15 left in the 3rd quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 37 percent to 63 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 31 to New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 38.
The play: Adkins 3-yd TD pass to Nicholson, New Mexico State goes ahead 38-34.
What happened next
New Mexico's next game: L 10-17 at Liberty, Sep 28
7 days laterNew Mexico State's next game: L 17-30 vs Fresno State, Sep 28
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 21, 2019: New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 25, Sep 11, 2021
about 24 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.