Regular season ·

Coastal Carolina beat Troy

Troy3-535
Coastal Carolina4-436Final
Sat, Nov 2 · Brooks Stadium, Conway, S.C. · Crowd 15,098 · 65°ESPN3

Records are after this game.

Coastal Carolina had a 7 percent chance to win with 2:33 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 36-35, November 2, 2019.

How the game turned

Coastal Carolina aheadTroy aheadLow: 7%
12345

Q4 (no clock) Coastal Carolina 36, Troy 35

Coastal Carolina 42% to win

Barker 1-yd run

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:23 · Coastal Carolina 0, Troy 7Coastal Carolina's win chance fell from 33% to 27%.Barker 4-yd TD run, Troy goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 7:04 · Coastal Carolina 7, Troy 14Coastal Carolina's win chance fell from 36% to 29%.Daughtry-Frye 1-yd TD run, Troy goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q1 3:46 · Coastal Carolina 14, Troy 21Coastal Carolina's win chance fell from 41% to 28%.Barker 47-yd TD pass to Todd, Troy goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q3 2:28 · Coastal Carolina 28, Troy 21Coastal Carolina's win chance rose from 46% to 76%.Hairston 3-yd TD run, two-point try good, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 28-21
  5. 5Q4 8:34 · Coastal Carolina 28, Troy 35Coastal Carolina's win chance fell from 46% to 14%.Barker 23-yd TD pass to Geiger, Troy goes ahead 35-28

Coastal Carolina's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Coastal Carolina took the lead for good with 0:30 left in the 4th quarter, Coastal Carolina 36, Troy 35.

What happened next

  1. Coastal Carolina's next game: L 7-48 vs Louisiana, Nov 7

    5 days later

  2. Troy's next game: W 49-28 vs Georgia Southern, Nov 9

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2019: Coastal Carolina 42, Troy 38, Dec 12, 2020

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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