Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic ·

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC
No. 15 Memphis12-239
No. 13 Penn State11-253Final
Sat, Dec 28 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (neutral site) · Crowd 54,828 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 13 Penn State beat No. 15 Memphis by 14 points, the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.

It was played at a neutral site: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX.

How the game turned

Penn State aheadMemphis aheadBiggest swingLow: 37%

Q3 0:38 Penn State 45, Memphis 36

Penn State 88% to win

Taylor return TD, Penn State leads 45-36

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:52 · Penn State 0, Memphis 3Penn State's win chance fell from 62% to 61%.Patterson 48-yd field goal, Memphis goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 9:56 · Penn State 7, Memphis 3Penn State's win chance rose from 63% to 72%.Brown 32-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q1 7:44 · Penn State 7, Memphis 10Penn State's win chance fell from 64% to 60%.Taylor 3-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 11:14 · Penn State 14, Memphis 13Penn State's win chance rose from 45% to 58%.Cain 1-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 14-13
  5. 5Q3 0:38 · Penn State 45, Memphis 36Penn State's win chance rose from 68% to 88%.Taylor return TD, Penn State leads 45-36

Penn State's lowest chance to win was 37 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:38 left in the 3rd quarter, Penn State's chance to win went from 68 percent to 88 percent when Penn State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Penn State 38, Memphis 36 to Penn State 45, Memphis 36.

The play: Taylor return TD, Penn State leads 45-36.

What happened next

  1. Penn State finished the 2019 season 11-2, No. 13 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Memphis finished the 2019 season 12-2, No. 15 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  3. Memphis's first game of the 2020 season: W 37-24 vs Arkansas State, Sep 5, 2020

    about 8 months later
  4. Penn State's first game of the 2020 season: L 35-36 at Indiana, Oct 24, 2020

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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