Capital One Orange Bowl ·

Capital One Orange Bowl

CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL
No. 6 Florida11-236
Virginia9-528Final
Mon, Dec 30 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla. (neutral site) · Crowd 65,157 · 74°, light rainESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 6 Florida beat Virginia by 8 points, the Capital One Orange Bowl.

It was played at a neutral site: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL.

How the game turned

Florida aheadVirginia ahead

Q1 14:20 Florida 7, Virginia 0

Florida 91% to win

Perine 61-yd TD run, Florida goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 14:20 · Florida 7, Virginia 0Florida's win chance rose from 83% to 91%.Perine 61-yd TD run, Florida goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 6:26 · Florida 14, Virginia 7Florida's win chance rose from 83% to 92%.Trask 16-yd TD pass to Perine, Florida goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 9:39 · Florida 17, Virginia 14McPherson 23-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 17-14

Florida was never below a 77 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Florida took the lead for good with 9:39 left in the 2nd quarter, Florida 17, Virginia 14.

What happened next

  1. Florida finished the 2019 season 11-2, No. 6 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Virginia finished the 2019 season 9-5.

  3. Florida's first game of the 2020 season: W 51-35 at Ole Miss, Sep 26, 2020

    about 9 months later
  4. Virginia's first game of the 2020 season: W 38-20 vs Duke, Sep 26, 2020

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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