Outback Bowl ·
Outback Bowl
Records are after this game.
Minnesota beat Auburn by 7 points, the Outback Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL.
How the game turned
Q3 5:04 Minnesota 24, Auburn 24
Minnesota 44% to win
Whitlow 3-yd TD run, ties it 24-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:17 · Minnesota 0, Auburn 3Carlson 24-yd field goal, Auburn goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 0:32 · Minnesota 24, Auburn 17Minnesota's win chance rose from 46% to 64%.Morgan 2-yd TD pass to Johnson, Minnesota goes ahead 24-17
- 3Q3 5:04 · Minnesota 24, Auburn 24Minnesota's win chance fell from 63% to 44%.Whitlow 3-yd TD run, ties it 24-24
- 4Q4 10:26 · Minnesota 31, Auburn 24Minnesota's win chance rose from 66% to 78%.Morgan 73-yd TD pass to Johnson, Minnesota goes ahead 31-24
Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 13 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:04 left in the 3rd quarter, Auburn's chance to win went from 37 percent to 56 percent when Auburn scored a touchdown.
The score went from Minnesota 24, Auburn 17 to Minnesota 24, Auburn 24.
The play: Whitlow 3-yd TD run, ties it 24-24.
What happened next
Minnesota finished the 2019 season 11-2, No. 16 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Auburn finished the 2019 season 9-4.
Auburn's first game of the 2020 season: W 29-13 vs Kentucky, Sep 26, 2020
about 9 months laterMinnesota's first game of the 2020 season: L 24-49 vs Michigan, Oct 24, 2020
about 10 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.