CFP National Championship ·
CFP National Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 1 LSU beat No. 3 Clemson by 17 points, the CFP National Championship.
It was played at a neutral site: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA.
How the game turned
Q3 5:13 LSU 35, Clemson 25
LSU 87% to win
Burrow 4-yd TD pass to Moss, LSU leads 35-25
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:34 · LSU 0, Clemson 7LSU's win chance fell from 53% to 41%.Lawrence 1-yd TD run, Clemson goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 13:43 · LSU 7, Clemson 10LSU's win chance fell from 54% to 51%.B.T. Potter 52 yd FG GOOD
- 3Q2 10:38 · LSU 7, Clemson 17LSU's win chance fell from 44% to 31%.Higgins 36-yd TD run, Clemson leads 17-7
- 4Q2 5:19 · LSU 21, Clemson 17LSU's win chance rose from 55% to 63%.Burrow 14-yd TD pass to Chase, LSU goes ahead 21-17
- 5Q3 5:13 · LSU 35, Clemson 25LSU's win chance rose from 63% to 87%.Burrow 4-yd TD pass to Moss, LSU leads 35-25
LSU's lowest chance to win was 29 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:13 left in the 3rd quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 63 percent to 87 percent when LSU scored a touchdown.
The score went from LSU 28, Clemson 25 to LSU 35, Clemson 25.
The play: Burrow 4-yd TD pass to Moss, LSU leads 35-25.
What happened next
LSU finished the 2019 season 15-0, No. 1 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Clemson finished the 2019 season 14-1, No. 3 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Clemson's first game of the 2020 season: W 37-13 at Wake Forest, Sep 12, 2020
about 8 months laterLSU's first game of the 2020 season: L 34-44 vs Mississippi State, Sep 26, 2020
about 8 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Jan 13, 2020: LSU 17, Clemson 10, Aug 30, 2025
about 6 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.