Regular season ·

Mississippi State beat LSU

Mississippi State1-044
No. 6 LSU0-134Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, La. · Crowd 21,124 · 80°, mainly clearCBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Mississippi State beat No. 6 LSU by 10 points.

LSU was No. 6 in the AP poll before the game; Mississippi State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Mississippi State aheadLSU aheadBiggest swingLow: 11%
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Q4 11:01 Mississippi State 34, LSU 31

Mississippi State 55% to win

Brennan 33-yd TD pass to Marshall, cuts it to 34-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 7:45 · Mississippi State 10, LSU 7Mississippi State's win chance rose from 16% to 28%.Costello 31-yd TD pass to Shavers
  2. 2Q2 5:20 · Mississippi State 10, LSU 14Mississippi State's win chance fell from 31% to 17%.Brennan 2-yd TD pass to Gilbert, LSU goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q2 2:27 · Mississippi State 17, LSU 14Mississippi State's win chance rose from 14% to 28%.Costello 43-yd TD pass to Mitchell
  4. 4Q3 6:23 · Mississippi State 20, LSU 17Mississippi State's win chance rose from 37% to 40%.Ruiz 24-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 20-17
  5. 5Q3 5:01 · Mississippi State 20, LSU 24Mississippi State's win chance fell from 37% to 29%.Brennan 37-yd TD pass to Marshall, LSU goes ahead 24-20
  6. 6Q3 4:46 · Mississippi State 27, LSU 24Mississippi State's win chance rose from 29% to 41%.Costello 75-yd TD pass to Hill
  7. 7Q4 11:01 · Mississippi State 34, LSU 31Mississippi State's win chance fell from 82% to 55%.Brennan 33-yd TD pass to Marshall, cuts it to 34-31
  8. 8Q4 9:37 · Mississippi State 34, LSU 34Mississippi State's win chance fell from 52% to 39%.York 40-yd field goal, ties it 34-34
  9. 9Q4 7:27 · Mississippi State 37, LSU 34Mississippi State's win chance rose from 44% to 56%.Ruiz 43-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 37-34

Mississippi State's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:01 left in the 4th quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 18 percent to 45 percent when LSU scored a touchdown.

The score went from Mississippi State 34, LSU 24 to Mississippi State 34, LSU 31.

The play: Brennan 33-yd TD pass to Marshall, cuts it to 34-31.

What happened next

  1. Mississippi State's next game: L 14-21 vs Arkansas, Oct 3

    7 days later

  2. LSU's next game: W 41-7 at Vanderbilt, Oct 3

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 26, 2020: LSU 28, Mississippi State 25, Sep 25, 2021

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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