Regular season ·

UTSA beat Texas State

UTSA1-051
Texas State0-248Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas · Crowd 7,500 · 85°, light drizzleESPN2

Records are after this game.

UTSA beat Texas State 51-48 in 2 overtimes, September 12, 2020.

How the game turned

UTSA aheadTexas State aheadBiggest swingLow: 22%

OT2 UTSA 51, Texas State 48

UTSA 100% to win

Duplessis 29-yd field goal, UTSA wins it 51-48

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:48 · UTSA 0, Texas State 7UTSA's win chance fell from 31% to 22%.Vitt 66-yd TD pass to Sturges, Texas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 12:27 · UTSA 10, Texas State 7UTSA's win chance rose from 42% to 47%.Duplessis 27-yd field goal, UTSA goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3OT1 · UTSA 48, Texas State 41UTSA's win chance rose from 52% to 67%.Harris 25-yd TD pass to Cephus, UTSA goes ahead 48-41
  4. 4OT1 · UTSA 48, Texas State 48UTSA's win chance fell from 51% to 44%.Vitt 4-yd TD pass to Barbee, ties it 48-48
  5. 5OT2 · UTSA 51, Texas State 48UTSA's win chance rose from 48% to 100%.Duplessis 29-yd field goal, UTSA wins it 51-48

UTSA's lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the second overtime, UTSA's chance to win went from 48 percent to 99 percent when UTSA kicked a field goal.

The score went from UTSA 48, Texas State 48 to UTSA 51, Texas State 48.

The play: Duplessis 29-yd field goal, UTSA wins it 51-48.

What happened next

  1. UTSA's next game: W 24-10 vs Stephen F. Austin, Sep 19

    7 days later
  2. Texas State's next game: W 38-17 at UL Monroe, Sep 19

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 12, 2020: UTSA 20, Texas State 13, Sep 9, 2023

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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