Regular season ·

SMU beat Memphis

No. 25 Memphis1-127
SMU4-030Final
Sat, Oct 3 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, Texas · Crowd 7,898 · 81°, clearESPN2

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

SMU beat No. 25 Memphis by 3 points.

Memphis was No. 25 in the AP poll before the game; SMU was not ranked.

How the game turned

SMU aheadMemphis aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:09 SMU 30, Memphis 27

SMU 100% to win

Naggar 43-yd field goal, SMU wins it 30-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:34 · SMU 3, Memphis 0Naggar 27-yd field goal, SMU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 3:52 · SMU 10, Memphis 3SMU's win chance rose from 66% to 70%.Buechele 3-yd TD pass to Gray, SMU goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q3 2:53 · SMU 27, Memphis 27SMU's win chance fell from 71% to 48%.White 5-yd TD pass to Washington, ties it 27-27
  4. 4Q4 0:09 · SMU 30, Memphis 27SMU's win chance rose from 48% to 100%.Naggar 43-yd field goal, SMU wins it 30-27

SMU's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:09 left in the 4th quarter, SMU's chance to win went from 48 percent to 99 percent when SMU kicked a field goal.

The score went from SMU 27, Memphis 27 to SMU 30, Memphis 27.

The play: Naggar 43-yd field goal, SMU wins it 30-27.

It was SMU's first win over Memphis since the 2013 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. SMU's next game: W 37-34 at Tulane, Oct 16

    13 days later
  2. Memphis's next game: W 50-49 vs UCF, Oct 17

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 3, 2020: Memphis 28, SMU 25, Nov 6, 2021

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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