Regular season ·
Texas Tech beat Baylor
Records are after this game.
Texas Tech had a 5 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-23, November 14, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Texas Tech 24, Baylor 23
Texas Tech 100% to win
Garibay 25-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 24-23
Big moments
- 1Q1 (no clock) · Texas Tech 0, Baylor 0Texas Tech's win chance rose from 46% to 58%.Ebner run for no gain, turnover on downs
- 2Q1 9:15 · Texas Tech 3, Baylor 0Garibay 48-yd field goal, Texas Tech goes ahead 3-0
- 3Q1 0:55 · Texas Tech 3, Baylor 7Texas Tech's win chance fell from 65% to 41%.Pitre return TD, Baylor goes ahead 7-3
- 4Q4 11:48 · Texas Tech 18, Baylor 23Texas Tech's win chance rose from 10% to 23%.Brooks 2-yd TD run, two-point try fails, cuts it to 23-18
- 5Q4 0:00 · Texas Tech 24, Baylor 23Texas Tech's win chance rose from 59% to 100%.Garibay 25-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 24-23
Texas Tech's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Texas Tech's chance to win went from 59 percent to 99 percent when Texas Tech kicked a field goal.
The score went from Texas Tech 21, Baylor 23 to Texas Tech 24, Baylor 23.
The play: Garibay 25-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 24-23.
What happened next
Texas Tech's next game: L 44-50 at Oklahoma State, Nov 28
14 days laterBaylor's next game: W 32-31 vs Kansas State, Nov 28
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 14, 2020: Baylor 27, Texas Tech 24, Nov 27, 2021
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.