Regular season ·
Michigan State beat Michigan
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Michigan State beat No. 13 Michigan by 3 points.
Michigan was No. 13 in the AP poll before the game; Michigan State was not ranked.
The announced crowd was 615, in the 2020 season.
How the game turned
Q4 5:11 Michigan State 27, Michigan 17
Michigan State 93% to win
Lombardi 13-yd TD pass to Heyward, Michigan State leads 27-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:57 · Michigan State 7, Michigan 0Michigan State's win chance rose from 13% to 15%.Lombardi 30-yd TD pass to White, Michigan State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 9:40 · Michigan State 14, Michigan 7Michigan State's win chance rose from 20% to 29%.Lombardi 2-yd TD pass to Heyward, Michigan State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 4:23 · Michigan State 20, Michigan 17Michigan State's win chance rose from 25% to 32%.Coghlin 51-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 20-17
- 4Q4 5:11 · Michigan State 27, Michigan 17Michigan State's win chance rose from 65% to 93%.Lombardi 13-yd TD pass to Heyward, Michigan State leads 27-17
Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:11 left in the 4th quarter, Michigan State's chance to win went from 65 percent to 93 percent when Michigan State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Michigan State 20, Michigan 17 to Michigan State 27, Michigan 17.
The play: Lombardi 13-yd TD pass to Heyward, Michigan State leads 27-17.
What happened next
Michigan went from No. 13 to No. 23 in the next AP poll.
Michigan State's next game: L 7-49 at Iowa, Nov 7
7 days laterMichigan's next game: L 21-38 at Indiana, Nov 7
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 31, 2020: Michigan State 37, Michigan 33, Oct 30, 2021
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.