Regular season ·

Illinois beat Nebraska

Illinois2-341
Nebraska1-323Final
Sat, Nov 21 · Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, Neb. · 45°, overcastBTN

Records are after this game.

Illinois beat Nebraska by 18 points.

How the game turned

Illinois aheadNebraska aheadBiggest swingLow: 17%

Q2 5:50 Illinois 28, Nebraska 10

Illinois 72% to win

Epstein 1-yd TD run, Illinois leads 28-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:31 · Illinois 7, Nebraska 0Brown 3-yd TD run, Illinois goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 5:39 · Illinois 14, Nebraska 7Illinois's win chance rose from 21% to 29%.Brown 2-yd TD run, Illinois goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 13:48 · Illinois 21, Nebraska 7Illinois's win chance rose from 40% to 56%.Peters 28-yd TD pass to Imatorbhebhe, Illinois leads 21-7
  4. 4Q2 5:50 · Illinois 28, Nebraska 10Illinois's win chance rose from 56% to 72%.Epstein 1-yd TD run, Illinois leads 28-10
  5. 5Q3 2:31 · Illinois 38, Nebraska 17Illinois's win chance rose from 84% to 95%.Peters 1-yd TD run, Illinois leads 38-17

Illinois's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:50 left in the 2nd quarter, Illinois's chance to win went from 56 percent to 72 percent when Illinois scored a touchdown.

The score went from Illinois 21, Nebraska 10 to Illinois 28, Nebraska 10.

The play: Epstein 1-yd TD run, Illinois leads 28-10.

It was Illinois's first win over Nebraska since the 2015 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Nebraska's next game: L 20-26 at Iowa, Nov 27

    6 days later
  2. Illinois's next game: L 21-35 vs Iowa, Dec 5

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 21, 2020: Illinois 30, Nebraska 22, Aug 28, 2021

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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