Regular season ·
USC beat Arizona
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 20 USC beat Arizona by 4 points.
How the game turned
Q4 1:35 USC 27, Arizona 30
USC 32% to win
Gunnell 6-yd TD pass to Berryhill, Arizona goes ahead 30-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:36 · USC 7, Arizona 0USC's win chance rose from 84% to 91%.Stepp 1-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 2:04 · USC 10, Arizona 7USC's win chance rose from 77% to 84%.Lewis 30-yd field goal, USC goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 2:33 · USC 17, Arizona 10USC's win chance rose from 83% to 84%.Carr 3-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 17-10
- 4Q4 7:49 · USC 20, Arizona 23USC's win chance fell from 66% to 45%.Havrisik 51-yd field goal, Arizona goes ahead 23-20
- 5Q4 3:30 · USC 27, Arizona 23USC's win chance rose from 39% to 78%.Slovis 6-yd TD pass to Krommenhoek, USC goes ahead 27-23
- 6Q4 1:35 · USC 27, Arizona 30USC's win chance fell from 75% to 32%.Gunnell 6-yd TD pass to Berryhill, Arizona goes ahead 30-27
- 7Q4 0:25 · USC 34, Arizona 30USC's win chance rose from 46% to 77%.Malepeai 8-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 34-30
USC's lowest chance to win was 32 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:35 left in the 4th quarter, Arizona's chance to win went from 26 percent to 68 percent when Arizona scored a touchdown.
The score went from USC 27, Arizona 23 to USC 27, Arizona 30.
The play: Gunnell 6-yd TD pass to Berryhill, Arizona goes ahead 30-27.
What happened next
USC's next game: W 33-17 at Utah, Nov 21
7 days laterArizona's next game: L 27-44 at Washington, Nov 21
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 14, 2020: USC 41, Arizona 34, Oct 30, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.