Regular season ·
USC beat UCLA
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
USC trailed UCLA by 18 points in the 3rd quarter and won 43-38, December 12, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 0:16 USC 43, UCLA 38
USC 70% to win
Slovis 8-yd TD pass to St. Brown
Big moments
- 1Q1 3:05 · USC 0, UCLA 7USC's win chance fell from 56% to 43%.Thompson-Robinson 33-yd TD pass to Fernea, UCLA goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 1:16 · USC 23, UCLA 35USC's win chance fell from 29% to 9%.Thompson-Robinson 69-yd TD pass to Dulcich, UCLA leads 35-23
- 3Q4 8:09 · USC 36, UCLA 35USC's win chance rose from 26% to 55%.Slovis 9-yd TD pass to London, two-point try fails, USC goes ahead 36-35
- 4Q4 0:52 · USC 36, UCLA 38USC's win chance fell from 52% to 36%.Barr-Mira 43-yd field goal, UCLA goes ahead 38-36
- 5Q4 0:16 · USC 43, UCLA 38USC's win chance rose from 36% to 70%.Slovis 8-yd TD pass to St. Brown
USC's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:16 left in the 4th quarter, USC's chance to win went from 36 percent to 70 percent when USC scored a touchdown.
The score went from USC 36, UCLA 38 to USC 43, UCLA 38.
What happened next
USC's next game: L 24-31 vs Oregon, Dec 18
6 days laterUCLA's next game: L 47-48 vs Stanford, Dec 19
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 12, 2020: UCLA 62, USC 33, Nov 20, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.