Regular season ·

Rice beat Marshall

Rice2-220
No. 15 Marshall7-10Final
Sat, Dec 5 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, W.Va. · Crowd 10,429 · 44°, mainly clearESPN+

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Rice beat No. 15 Marshall by 20 points.

Marshall was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; Rice was not ranked.

How the game turned

Rice aheadMarshall aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%
12

Q3 7:50 Rice 20, Marshall 0

Rice 85% to win

Smith return TD, Rice leads 20-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 1:06 · Rice 7, Marshall 0Rice's win chance rose from 12% to 17%.Myers 1-yd TD run, Rice goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 7:50 · Rice 20, Marshall 0Rice's win chance rose from 66% to 85%.Smith return TD, Rice leads 20-0

Rice's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:50 left in the 3rd quarter, Rice's chance to win went from 66 percent to 85 percent when Rice scored a touchdown.

The score went from Rice 13, Marshall 0 to Rice 20, Marshall 0.

The play: Smith return TD, Rice leads 20-0.

What happened next

  1. Marshall was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. Rice's next game: L 16-21 vs UAB, Dec 12

    7 days later

  3. Marshall's next game: L 13-22 vs UAB, Dec 18

    13 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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