Regular season ·
Alabama beat Florida
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 1 Alabama beat No. 11 Florida by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 3:10 Alabama 31, Florida 29
Alabama 68% to win
Pierce 17-yd TD run, two-point try fails, cuts it to 31-29
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:21 · Alabama 7, Florida 0Alabama's win chance rose from 82% to 90%.Young 7-yd TD pass to McClellan, Alabama goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 0:29 · Alabama 28, Florida 23Alabama's win chance fell from 94% to 83%.Jones 5-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-23
- 3Q4 3:10 · Alabama 31, Florida 29Alabama's win chance fell from 89% to 68%.Pierce 17-yd TD run, two-point try fails, cuts it to 31-29
Alabama was never below a 63 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:10 left in the 4th quarter, Florida's chance to win went from 11 percent to 32 percent when Florida scored a touchdown.
The score went from Alabama 31, Florida 23 to Alabama 31, Florida 29.
The play: Pierce 17-yd TD run, two-point try fails, cuts it to 31-29.
What happened next
Alabama's next game: W 63-14 vs Southern Miss, Sep 25
7 days laterFlorida's next game: W 38-14 vs Tennessee, Sep 25
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.