Regular season ·

Mississippi State beat Kentucky

No. 12 Kentucky6-217
Mississippi State5-331Final
Sat, Oct 30 · Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Miss. · Crowd 49,487 · 60°, overcastSEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Mississippi State beat No. 12 Kentucky by 14 points.

Kentucky was No. 12 in the AP poll before the game; Mississippi State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Mississippi State aheadKentucky aheadBiggest swingLow: 25%
12

Q2 1:40 Mississippi State 14, Kentucky 10

Mississippi State 57% to win

Johnson 9-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 14-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:14 · Mississippi State 0, Kentucky 7Mississippi State's win chance fell from 45% to 34%.Ali return TD, Kentucky goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 1:40 · Mississippi State 14, Kentucky 10Mississippi State's win chance rose from 40% to 57%.Johnson 9-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 14-10

Mississippi State's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:40 left in the 2nd quarter, Mississippi State's chance to win went from 40 percent to 57 percent when Mississippi State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Mississippi State 7, Kentucky 10 to Mississippi State 14, Kentucky 10.

The play: Johnson 9-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 14-10.

What happened next

  1. Mississippi State's next game: L 28-31 at Arkansas, Nov 6

    7 days later

  2. Kentucky's next game: L 42-45 vs Tennessee, Nov 6

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 30, 2021: Kentucky 27, Mississippi State 17, Oct 15, 2022

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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