Regular season ·

Missouri beat Florida

Florida5-623
Missouri6-524Final
Sat, Nov 20 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo. · Crowd 47,818 · 58°, overcastSEC Network

Records are after this game.

Missouri had a 8 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-23 in overtime, November 20, 2021.

How the game turned

Missouri aheadFlorida aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
12345678

OT1 Missouri 24, Florida 23

Missouri 100% to win

Badie 13-yd TD run, two-point try good, Missouri wins it 24-23

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:49 · Missouri 0, Florida 3Missouri's win chance fell from 25% to 23%.Howard 42-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 9:35 · Missouri 3, Florida 6Howard 26-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q2 1:34 · Missouri 9, Florida 6Mevis 31-yd field goal, Missouri goes ahead 9-6
  4. 4Q3 12:52 · Missouri 9, Florida 13Missouri's win chance fell from 34% to 20%.Pierce 2-yd TD run, Florida goes ahead 13-9
  5. 5Q4 11:53 · Missouri 16, Florida 13Missouri's win chance rose from 30% to 49%.Bazelak 41-yd TD pass to Hea, Missouri goes ahead 16-13
  6. 6Q4 8:30 · Missouri 16, Florida 16Missouri's win chance fell from 61% to 47%.Howard 33-yd field goal, ties it 16-16
  7. 7OT1 · Missouri 16, Florida 23Missouri's win chance fell from 28% to 23%.Whittemore 6-yd TD pass to Jones, Florida goes ahead 23-16
  8. 8OT1 · Missouri 24, Florida 23Missouri's win chance rose from 23% to 100%.Badie 13-yd TD run, two-point try good, Missouri wins it 24-23

Missouri's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Missouri's chance to win went from 23 percent to 99 percent when Missouri scored a touchdown.

The score went from Missouri 16, Florida 23 to Missouri 24, Florida 23.

The play: Badie 13-yd TD run, two-point try good, Missouri wins it 24-23.

What happened next

  1. Missouri's next game: L 17-34 at Arkansas, Nov 26

    6 days later

  2. Florida's next game: W 24-21 vs Florida State, Nov 27

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 20, 2021: Florida 24, Missouri 17, Oct 8, 2022

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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