Regular season ·

Florida beat Florida State

Florida State5-721
Florida6-624Final
Sat, Nov 27 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Fla. · Crowd 88,491 · 60°, partly cloudyESPN

Records are after this game.

Florida beat Florida State by 3 points.

How the game turned

Florida aheadFlorida State aheadBiggest swingLow: 43%

Q3 2:09 Florida 17, Florida State 7

Florida 90% to win

Richardson 5-yd TD pass to Shorter, Florida leads 17-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:54 · Florida 7, Florida State 0Florida's win chance rose from 64% to 73%.Jones 47-yd TD pass to Gamble, Florida goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 11:09 · Florida 10, Florida State 7Howard 36-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q3 (no clock) · Florida 10, Florida State 7Florida's win chance rose from 60% to 73%.Travis sacked, fumbles
  4. 4Q3 2:09 · Florida 17, Florida State 7Florida's win chance rose from 74% to 90%.Richardson 5-yd TD pass to Shorter, Florida leads 17-7

Florida's lowest chance to win was 43 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:09 left in the 3rd quarter, Florida's chance to win went from 74 percent to 90 percent when Florida scored a touchdown.

The score went from Florida 10, Florida State 7 to Florida 17, Florida State 7.

The play: Richardson 5-yd TD pass to Shorter, Florida leads 17-7.

What happened next

  1. Florida's next game: L 17-29 vs UCF in the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, Dec 23

    26 days later
  2. Florida State finished the 2021 season 5-7.

  3. Florida State's first game of the 2022 season: W 47-7 vs Duquesne, Aug 27, 2022

    about 9 months later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 27, 2021: Florida State 45, Florida 38, Nov 25, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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