Regular season ·

Kentucky beat Louisville

Kentucky9-352
Louisville6-621Final
Sat, Nov 27 · Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Ky. · Crowd 55,018 · 46°, partly cloudyESPN2

Records are after this game.

Kentucky beat Louisville by 31 points.

How the game turned

Kentucky aheadLouisville aheadLow: 46%

Q1 12:22 Kentucky 7, Louisville 0

Kentucky 61% to win

Levis 29-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:22 · Kentucky 7, Louisville 0Kentucky's win chance rose from 54% to 61%.Levis 29-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 1:18 · Kentucky 14, Louisville 7Kentucky's win chance rose from 54% to 62%.Levis 7-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 1:53 · Kentucky 24, Louisville 7Kentucky's win chance rose from 74% to 89%.Levis 5-yd TD run, Kentucky leads 24-7

Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 46 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Kentucky took the lead for good with 1:18 left in the 1st quarter, Kentucky 14, Louisville 7.

What happened next

  1. Louisville's next game: L 28-31 vs Air Force in the Servpro First Responder Bowl, Dec 28

    31 days later
  2. Kentucky's next game: W 20-17 vs Iowa in the VRBO Citrus Bowl, Jan 1

    35 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 27, 2021: Kentucky 26, Louisville 13, Nov 26, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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